The movement in Meta Platforms shares is being driven by two competing narratives.
The movement in Meta Platforms shares is being driven by two competing narratives. On one hand, advertising revenue is benefiting from AI-based tools: the Advantage+ platform continues to support strong advertiser demand, and the analyst consensus for Q1 2026 revenue stands at around $55.5 billion—near the upper end of the company’s guidance range of $53.5–56.5 billion. On the other hand, investors remain cautious about planned capital expenditure of $115–135 billion for 2026, which is weighing on free cash flow. The company’s earnings release is scheduled for 29 April after the market close.
Technical Overview
On the 4-hour chart, price action from late January to the end of March showed clear signs of a downtrend, with the stock falling roughly 30% from $744 to $521. The rebound from this low was sharp and symmetrical, forming a clear V-shaped recovery. The return of buyers was accompanied by a notable spike in vertical volume on 8 April, after which the price moved firmly into the market profile range of $610–683.
Within this zone, momentum has slowed. The Point of Control (POC) is concentrated around $668–673. The price is currently trading between this high-volume area and the upper boundary of the profile at $683, where trading activity has been most concentrated over the period. Above current levels, the next key resistance is at $692 — the April high. Support at $594 aligns with a gap formed during the strong upward move on elevated volume. The RSI with moving averages shows readings of 62, 63, and 60. The oscillator sits between two upward-sloping moving averages, indicating that bullish momentum persists, although price action is clearly slowing near the upper edge of the volume range.
Summary
The chart structure reflects a transition from a deep correction to a recovery phase that has now encountered a dense volume barrier. Price behaviour within the $668–683 range will largely depend on the upcoming earnings release and whether the company can meet analysts’ expectations amid rising capital expenditure.
Published by:
Ava