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U.S. and China hold talks ahead of Trump–Xi talks. Talk, talk, talk .... rinse, repeat.

Posted on: Mar 16 2026

U.S. and Chinese officials held what 'sources' described as constructive talks in Paris to stabilise trade ties ahead of a planned Trump–Xi summit in Beijing.

Summary:

  • U.S. and Chinese officials held “candid and constructive” trade talks in Paris.

  • Discussions focused on stabilising the bilateral trade relationship.

  • China may consider increasing purchases of U.S. agricultural products.

  • U.S. officials pushed for more Chinese imports of Boeing aircraft and energy products.

  • Rare earth supply challenges facing American firms were also discussed.

  • Proposals for managed trade and investment frameworks were explored.

  • Technical negotiations will continue ahead of a planned Trump–Xi summit in Beijing.

U.S. and Chinese officials have held what sources described as “candid and constructive” discussions in Paris aimed at stabilising their trade relationship ahead of an expected summit between the leaders of the world’s two largest economies.

According to people familiar with the talks, the meeting brought together senior economic officials from both sides to explore ways to reduce tensions and prepare proposals for consideration at a future meeting between Donald Trump and Xi Jinping in Beijing.

Participants discussed measures designed to enhance stability in bilateral trade ties, including the possibility of increased Chinese purchases of U.S. agricultural goods. The proposals are being framed as potential confidence-building steps ahead of the leaders’ summit.

Officials also examined broader “managed trade” arrangements and investment frameworks that could help structure economic engagement between the two countries and address persistent trade imbalances.

During the discussions, U.S. officials raised the prospect of additional Chinese purchases across several sectors. Representatives from Washington reportedly encouraged Beijing to consider expanding imports of American products such as aircraft from Boeing, as well as coal, crude oil and natural gas.

The talks also addressed supply chain concerns affecting American businesses operating in China. One issue raised involved difficulties some U.S. companies have faced in securing supplies of rare earth elements, including yttrium, which are critical inputs in a wide range of advanced technologies and industrial applications.

The U.S. delegation included Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent and U.S. Trade Representative Jamieson Greer, who pressed Chinese counterparts on market access and trade balance issues.

Sources said both sides viewed the meeting as a constructive step in ongoing economic dialogue. However, officials acknowledged that many details still need to be worked out before any formal agreements are reached.

Technical-level discussions are expected to continue, with negotiators scheduled to meet again on Monday to further develop proposals and address outstanding issues.

The renewed engagement comes as Washington and Beijing attempt to stabilise their economic relationship amid broader geopolitical tensions and ongoing disputes over trade, technology and supply chains.

This article was written by Eamonn Sheridan at investinglive.com.
investingLive Americas market news wrap: Market loses faith that an Iran solution is near

Posted on: Mar 14 2026

  • The Pentagon is moving additional warships to the Middle East
  • Trump says war will end when he feels it "in my bones"
  • US GDP for Q4 (2nd revision) 0.7% vs 1.4% estimate and prior
  • US PCE inflation +2.8% y/y vs +2.9% expected
  • JOLTs job openings for January 6.946M vs 6.700M estimate
  • University of Michigan sentiment (preliminary) for March 55.5 versus 55.0 estimate
  • Canada February employment change -83.9K vs +10K expected
  • Federal Judge quashes subpoenas sent to Fed and Chairman Jerome Powell
  • Trump approval slips to 44% — markets should be watching the midterm risk
  • Bad news for housing. The average rate on 30 year fixed mortgage rises to 6.41%.
  • Barclays pushes back expectations for Fed rate cuts
  • The US and Cuba are talking

Markets:

  • WTI crude oil up $2.23 to $97.96
  • Gold down $53 to $5025
  • US 10-year yields flat at 4.28%
  • S&P 500 down 48 points to 6625
  • Bitcoin up 1.3%
  • USD leads, NZD lags

There was some sense of the war doves throwing in the towel today, at least in the short term. News that the US was sending over a Marine Expeditionary Unit that won't arrive for 12-16 days stretches the timeline to the end of the month and the full 4-5 weeks Trump touted, at minimum.

There is a sense that Iran isn't ready to end the war even if Trump wants to and that means there could be a battle to control the Strait of Hormuz or persistent naval escorts. If that's where this is headed that it's going to be a long spring and oil prices will stay high.

We saw that today with crude falling to $92 in Asian but rising all the way to $99.32 and finishing near the highs of the day. At the same time, US equities started with a 50 point gain that turned into a 45 point loss as the de-risking continues.

The FX market had been taking the fighting in stride but is increasingly shifting into dollars. That's pushed the euro to the lowest since July after a break of 1.1500 and a continued run lower.

The Australian dollar had been immune to the war trade up until now but it cracked on Friday and fell 83 pips to 0.6995.

The Canadian dollar stands to benefit from the higher oil prices but fresh worries about the domestic economy hit after a poor jobs report -- the second one in a row and the worst headline since 2022. So even with oil up $40 in a month, USD/CAD is flat at 1.3729.

Much of the final hours of trading was speculation about what could happen over the weekend. There is a huge range of possibilities from peace to sunken US ships and that will ensure another intense opening on Sunday night. Until then, have a nice weekend.

This article was written by Adam Button at investinglive.com.
New Zealand Q4 terms of trade +3.7% q/q vs -0.7% expected

Posted on: Mar 04 2026

  • Prior was -2.1%
  • Import prices vs +0.8% expected
  • Prior import prices +0.5%
  • Export prices vs +0.5% expected
  • Prior export prices -1.6%

New Zealand's terms of trade measure the ratio of the country's export prices to its import prices, serving as a key indicator of the nation's purchasing power in international markets. This metric is particularly important for New Zealand given its heavy reliance on commodity exports, especially dairy, meat, forestry products, and horticultural goods.

Throughout 2025, New Zealand's terms of trade were shaped by several intersecting forces. Global dairy prices, which represent a significant share of export revenue, experienced fluctuations driven by shifting demand from key markets such as China and Southeast Asia. The performance of Fonterra's Global Dairy Trade auctions remained a closely watched barometer for the country's export outlook.

On the import side, energy costs played a substantial role. Oil price movements, influenced by OPEC+ production decisions and broader geopolitical tensions, affected the cost of fuel and manufactured goods entering the country. A weaker New Zealand dollar relative to the US dollar also tended to push import costs higher, putting downward pressure on the terms of trade even when export volumes held steady.

Structural factors continued to matter as well. New Zealand's shift toward higher-value exports — including premium wine, technology services, and niche agricultural products — offered some insulation against raw commodity price swings. Meanwhile, supply chain adjustments following the disruptions of earlier years contributed to more stable, if elevated, import pricing.

Statistics New Zealand publishes official terms of trade data quarterly, and these releases are closely monitored by the Reserve Bank of New Zealand as an input into monetary policy decisions, given their implications for national income and inflationary pressures.

This article was written by Adam Button at investinglive.com.
Trump: We have hit hundreds of targets

Posted on: Mar 02 2026

Comments from Trump in a newly-released video:

  • On Iran: We have hit hundreds of targets including Revolutionary Guard facilities, air defense systems and nine ships plus naval building

  • On Iran: Combat operations continue

  • On Iran: Military operations will continue until all of our objectives are achieved

  • There will likely be more U.S. casualties

  • Iranian regime armed with long range missiles and nuclear weapons would be a dire threat to every American

  • U.S. will avenge the deaths of Americans

  • US lawmakers see no plan for Iran following strikes

  • Urge Revolutionary Guard, Iranian military and police to lay down arms and receive immunity or face certain death

  • Call on Iranians to seize this moment take back your country

  • To Iranians: America is with you

An important report came out a couple hours ago from the Daily Mail, who spoke to Trump directly:

"It's always been a four-week process. We figured it will be four weeks or so. It's always been about a four-week process so - as strong as it is, it's a big country, it'll take four weeks - or less," the British newspaper quoted Trump as saying.

Trump said he was open to more talks but didn't say they would happen soon:

"I don't know," Trump said, according to the report. "They want to talk, but I said you should have talked last week, not this week," he added.

Weren't there more talks scheduled?

In any case, it's really tough to separate what's true and what isn't right now, that's why comments from Trump himself are critical. For Iran's side, there is no longer anyone to speak. There was a report saying they were shutting the Hormuz Strait but that was later denied by an Iranian official who said they were only targeting US ships.

Trump also told Fox earlier that 48 of Iran's leaders were killed.

This article was written by Adam Button at investinglive.com.